Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Shakhtar Bulat

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Nurbol N.
19' Event
Buraev M.
43' Event
Amirseitov I.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Zhetysu Taldykorgan and Shakhtar Bulat finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zhetysu Taldykorgan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
33%
Draws
27%
Shakhtar Bulat
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zhetysu Taldykorgan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zhetysu Taldykorgan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Zhetysu Taldykorgan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zhetysu Taldykorgan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Clean Sheet 20%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhetysu Taldykorgan Shakhtar Bulat
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2022 First League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Shakhtar Bulat
4:1
Apr 17, 2022 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0:3
Sep 20, 2017 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1:0
Jul 1, 2017 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0:5
Apr 30, 2017 First League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Shakhtar Bulat
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhetysu Taldykorgan Compare

Top Goalscorer Nurbol N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buraev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Top Goalscorer Flyuk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhetysu Taldykorgan 40 / 100
Shakhtar Bulat 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Shakhtar Bulat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shakhtar Bulat conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Zhetysu Taldykorgan scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Away concern: Shakhtar Bulat has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zhetysu Taldykorgan VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhetysu Taldykorgan

(Home)
25 Jul
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 2
Kyzylzhar
18 Jul
Okzhetpes
2 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
11 Jul
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Altai
05 Jul
Aktobe
2 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
27 Jun
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Aktobe
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Shakhtar Bulat

(Away)
05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
28 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
0 : 1
Zhenis
22 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
2 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
16 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
2 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
09 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717
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