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Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Tobol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Žetisu Stadion, Taldykorgan
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zhetysu Taldykorgan host Tobol in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Zhetysu Taldykorgan have averaged 1 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Tobol's 1.26 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, Zhetysu Taldykorgan have won 0 to Tobol's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.75) point toward Tobol. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15%
Draws
64%
Tobol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tobol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tobol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tobol a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tobol have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Clean Sheet 12%
Tobol Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhetysu Taldykorgan Tobol
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Tobol vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Tobol
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Premier League
Tobol vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Tobol vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Tobol
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhetysu Taldykorgan 22 / 100
Tobol 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Tobol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tobol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tobol conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Zhetysu Taldykorgan scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Zhetysu Taldykorgan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zhetysu Taldykorgan VS Tobol
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhetysu Taldykorgan

(Home)
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
05 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Ertis Pavlodar
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
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Tobol

(Away)
17 Sept
Tobol
0 : 2
Yelimay Semey
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4
Tobol
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0
Tobol
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Kyzylzhar 27 7 6 14 28:40 27
12 Ertis Pavlodar 26 6 8 12 26:36 26
13 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
14 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)