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Zhetysu W vs Tobol W Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Osipova P.
49' Event
Maxim T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Zhetysu W
15%
Draws
12%
Tobol W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhetysu W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tobol W lately — more wins on the board than Zhetysu W.
  • Zhetysu W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular League Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Zhetysu W Clean Sheet 15%
Tobol W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhetysu W Tobol W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 3.6 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2025 League Women
Zhetysu W vs Tobol W
1:1
Jul 7, 2025 League Women
Tobol W vs Zhetysu W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhetysu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maxim T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Tobol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Osipova P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhetysu W 35 / 100
Tobol W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhetysu W Tobol W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zhetysu W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Tobol W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tobol W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zhetysu W VS Tobol W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhetysu W

(Home)
07 Sept
Ulytau W
1 : 3
Zhetysu W
24 Aug
Zhetysu W
4 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
17 Aug
Atyrau W
3 : 1
Zhetysu W
10 Aug
Zhetysu W
1 : 2
Tomiris-Turan W
03 Aug
BIIK Shymkent W
11 : 1
Zhetysu W
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Tobol W

(Away)
08 Sept
FC Astana W
2 : 0
Tobol W
01 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy W
1 : 0
Tobol W
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2
Yelimay Semey W
17 Aug
Altai W
1 : 1
Tobol W
10 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 3
Kyzylzhar W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 26 24 2 0 225:5 74
2 BIIK Shymkent W 26 23 2 1 252:9 71
3 Tomiris-Turan W 26 19 4 3 107:20 61
4 Kyzylzhar W 26 16 1 9 69:39 49
5 Yelimay Semey W 26 15 3 8 67:52 48
6 Kairat W 26 15 1 10 66:56 46
7 Ulytau W 26 12 4 10 47:54 40
8 Zhenis Astana W 26 11 3 12 51:63 36
9 FC Astana W 26 8 5 13 46:55 29
10 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 26 8 4 14 45:63 28
11 Tobol W 26 6 5 15 27:111 23
12 Zhetysu W 26 4 2 20 24:104 14
13 Atyrau W 26 2 1 23 27:181 7
14 Okzhetpes W 26 0 1 25 5:246 1
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)