Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zhlobin vs Chayka Zelva

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Play Offs
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ogurtsov A.
32' Event
Ogurtsov A.
44'
Zubko O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Zhlobin
15%
Draws
42%
Chayka Zelva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhlobin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zhlobin come out ahead of Chayka Zelva on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Zhlobin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zhlobin, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zhlobin Clean Sheet 10%
Chayka Zelva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhlobin Chayka Zelva
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 6 1
Draws 1 2
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.74
Goals Conceded 4.1 4.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2020 Division 2 - Play Offs
Zhlobin vs Chayka Zelva
3:2
Oct 17, 2020 Division 2 - Play Offs
Chayka Zelva vs Zhlobin
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhlobin Compare

Top Goalscorer Tatarinov E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isayenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chayka Zelva Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogurtsov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhlobin 34 / 100
Chayka Zelva 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhlobin Chayka Zelva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chayka Zelva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chayka Zelva let in goals in 96% of their last 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Zhlobin found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Chayka Zelva registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zhlobin VS Chayka Zelva
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
3.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhlobin

(Home)
28 May
Stanles Pinsk
3 : 2
Zhlobin
24 Oct
Zhlobin
3 : 2
Chayka Zelva
17 Oct
Chayka Zelva
3 : 0
Zhlobin
10 Oct
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
3 : 2
Zhlobin
26 Sept
Zhlobin
1 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
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Chayka Zelva

(Away)
24 Oct
Zhlobin
3 : 2
Chayka Zelva
17 Oct
Chayka Zelva
3 : 0
Zhlobin
03 Oct
Chayka Zelva
0 : 5
Ostrovets
26 Sept
Chayka Zelva
1 : 2
BGU Minsk
19 Sept
Kronon Stolbtsy
4 : 2
Chayka Zelva
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Brest Malorita 7
Gorki 2
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 4
Ostrovets 12
Meliorator Zhitkovichi 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Ivatsevichi 9
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 8
BGU Minsk 3
BumProm Gomel 2
Pershiy Region 0
Polotsk 6
Kronon Stolbtsy 4
Energetik-BGATU 3
Chayka Zelva 5
Zhlobin 3