Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zhodino vs Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Torpedo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zhodino play Vitebsk in the Vysshaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zhodino averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. Vitebsk averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Zhodino won 3, Vitebsk won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Zhodino and 0.81 for Vitebsk. This points to a Zhodino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Zhodino
33%
Draws
26%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zhodino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Zhodino picked up more points recently compared to Vitebsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Zhodino Clean Sheet 26%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhodino Vitebsk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Vitebsk
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Zhodino
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Vitebsk
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Vitebsk
3:0
Jun 14, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Zhodino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhodino Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhulpa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Protasov Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhodino 42 / 100
Vitebsk 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhodino Vitebsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zhodino or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zhodino attacking → ← attacking Vitebsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhodino scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Vitebsk let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Zhodino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vitebsk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 32
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1474320:1225
5Zhodino1465323:1223
6Dynamo Brest1463520:1421
7Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1456318:1821
8Neman1462615:1420
9FC Minsk1454519:1919
10Vitebsk1445513:1617
11Slavia Mozyr1436513:1815
12FK Baranovici1434714:2613
13Dnepr Mogilev1425711:2011
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316