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Zidgrad Idrija vs Sencur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Jereb R.
13' Event
Gobec T.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Stojnic U.

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West game between Zidgrad Idrija and Sencur finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sencur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zidgrad Idrija
15%
Draws
45%
Sencur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sencur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sencur come out ahead of Zidgrad Idrija on wins alone.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sencur have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Zidgrad Idrija Clean Sheet 16%
Sencur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zidgrad Idrija Sencur
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Sencur
2:4
Mar 14, 2026 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Sencur
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Zidgrad Idrija
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zidgrad Idrija Compare

Top Goalscorer Jereb R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sencur Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojnic U.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Imeraj E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zidgrad Idrija 36 / 100
Sencur 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zidgrad Idrija Sencur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sencur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Zidgrad Idrija scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Sencur has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Zidgrad Idrija remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zidgrad Idrija VS Sencur
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zidgrad Idrija

(Home)
10 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 0
Tolmin
03 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 4
Sencur
26 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
1 : 3
Dob
20 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
Page 1 of 6

Sencur

(Away)
10 Oct
Sobec Lesce
0 : 0
Sencur
03 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 4
Sencur
26 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Sencur
20 Sept
Sencur
3 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 9 9 0 0 40:6 27
2 Dob 9 6 2 1 22:7 20
3 Zidgrad Idrija 9 6 1 2 15:11 19
4 Sencur 9 4 4 1 17:11 16
5 Litija 9 4 3 2 16:8 15
6 Tolmin 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
7 Rudar Trbovlje 9 4 1 4 13:19 13
8 Skofja Loka 9 3 3 3 15:18 12
9 Adria Miren 9 3 1 5 19:17 10
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
11 Ziri 9 1 4 4 9:14 7
12 Fama Vipava 9 2 0 7 14:41 6
13 Ljubljana Svoboda 9 1 1 7 6:21 4
14 Sobec Lesce 9 0 4 5 6:16 4
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)