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Zielona Gora vs Leczna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zielona Gora host Leczna in the Division 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Leczna have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Zielona Gora have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.71. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.25 - 2.19) back Zielona Gora to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zielona Gora
20%
Draws
52%
Leczna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leczna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zielona Gora lately — more wins on the board than Leczna.
  • Win probability leans Leczna's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 10%
Leczna Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Leczna
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 10 / 100
Leczna 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Leczna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leczna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zielona Gora found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Leczna has conceded goals in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Zielona Gora has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zielona Gora VS Leczna
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zielona Gora

(Home)
03 Oct
Sandecja Nowy S.
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
19 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 3
Pruszkow
11 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 1
Zielona Gora
05 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 4
Swit Szczecin
02 Sept
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Ruch Chorzow
Page 1 of 6

Leczna

(Away)
04 Oct
Leczna
3 : 1
Chojniczanka
26 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2
Leczna
18 Sept
Zawisza
0 : 0
Leczna
12 Sept
Leczna
4 : 1
Legia II
05 Sept
Kleczew
0 : 4
Leczna
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Leczna 10 6 2 2 21:10 20
3 Tychy 10 5 5 0 14:6 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Zielona Gora 10 4 3 3 20:16 15
9 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 10 3 1 6 16:21 10
14 Legia II 9 3 0 6 18:17 9
15 Slask Wroclaw II 9 3 0 6 15:17 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)