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Stadium Background

Zielona Gora vs Ol. Grudziadz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ostrowski R.
Assist: Nahrebecki W.
43'
Olejarka D.
45' Event
Abramowicz D.
Assist: Olejarka D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Zielona Gora and Ol. Grudziadz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Zielona Gora
15%
Draws
53%
Ol. Grudziadz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ol. Grudziadz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Ol. Grudziadz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ol. Grudziadz here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 13%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Ol. Grudziadz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.71 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 2
Zielona Gora vs Ol. Grudziadz
2:2
May 7, 2011 Division 2 - West
Zielona Gora vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:2
Sep 25, 2010 Division 2 - West
Ol. Grudziadz vs Zielona Gora
3:1
Mar 20, 2010 Division 2 - West
Zielona Gora vs Ol. Grudziadz
2:3
Aug 22, 2009 Division 2 - West
Ol. Grudziadz vs Zielona Gora
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Ostrowski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Abramowicz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zbiciak B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 31 / 100
Ol. Grudziadz 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Ol. Grudziadz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ol. Grudziadz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zielona Gora scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ol. Grudziadz conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Zielona Gora has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zielona Gora VS Ol. Grudziadz
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zielona Gora

(Home)
10 Oct
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Legia II
03 Oct
Sandecja Nowy S.
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
19 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 3
Pruszkow
11 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 1
Zielona Gora
05 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 4
Swit Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

Ol. Grudziadz

(Away)
04 Oct
Zawisza
1 : 2
Ol. Grudziadz
19 Sept
Chojniczanka
3 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
11 Sept
Kleczew
1 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
06 Sept
Slask Wroclaw II
0 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
02 Sept
Gornik Zabrze II
3 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Tychy 11 6 5 0 17:6 23
3 Leczna 11 6 2 3 21:13 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
9 Zielona Gora 11 4 3 4 20:18 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 11 4 2 5 14:17 14
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 4 1 6 19:23 13
14 Legia II 10 4 0 6 20:17 12
15 Slask Wroclaw II 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 11 2 2 7 11:25 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)