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Stadium Background

Zielona Gora vs Ruch Chorzow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Polish Cup MOSiR, Zielona Góra
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Komor A.
35'
Sub
Szczepan D. In: Pawlowski M.
Out: Szczepan D.
41' Event
Chrapek M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Zielona Gora
20%
Draws
46%
Ruch Chorzow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ruch Chorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zielona Gora come out ahead of Ruch Chorzow on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Zielona Gora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ruch Chorzow, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ruch Chorzow here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 15%
Ruch Chorzow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Ruch Chorzow
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.76 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Polish Cup
Zielona Gora vs Ruch Chorzow
0:2
May 1, 2021 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Ruch Chorzow
0:2
Sep 20, 2020 III Liga - Group III
Ruch Chorzow vs Zielona Gora
4:0
May 27, 2020 III Liga - Group III
Ruch Chorzow vs Zielona Gora
0:0
Nov 2, 2019 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Ruch Chorzow
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zielona Gora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ruch Chorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Komor A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chrapek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 31 / 100
Ruch Chorzow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Ruch Chorzow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ruch Chorzow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zielona Gora scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Ruch Chorzow has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Zielona Gora remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zielona Gora VS Ruch Chorzow
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zielona Gora

(Home)
10 Oct
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Legia II
03 Oct
Sandecja Nowy S.
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
19 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 3
Pruszkow
11 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 1
Zielona Gora
05 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 4
Swit Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

Ruch Chorzow

(Away)
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3
Podbeskidzie
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
02 Sept
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Ruch Chorzow
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
Widzew Lodz II -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda -
TBD -
Unia Skierniewice 2
Kleczew 3
Podhale Nowy Targ 2
Chojniczanka 0
TBD -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Radomiak Radom -
Warta Poznan 0
R. Rzeszow 1
TBD -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
Hutnik Krakow 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
Sandecja Nowy S. 3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 2
Motor Lublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork -
TBD -
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
Widzew Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
Plock II -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Luzino -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow 3
LKS Lodz II 1
TBD -
Cracovia -
Zielona Gora -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Gornik Zabrze II -
TBD -
Ol. Grudziadz 5
Swit Szczecin 3
Suwalki -
TBD -
TBD -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Chemik Bydgoszcz -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Slask Wroclaw -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Leczna 2
KKS Kalisz 0
TBD -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
TBD -
LKS Lodz -
Kluczevia Stargard -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce 3
GKS Jastrzebie 0
1/32-finals
Legnica 0
Chrobry Glogow 1
Widzew Lodz II 1
Polonia Bytom 2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3
Zaglebie 2
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda 1
Kleczew 2
Podhale Nowy Targ 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1
Avia Swidnik 3
KS Wieczysta Krakow 1
Korona Kielce II 0
Radomiak Radom 1
R. Rzeszow 0
Arka Gdynia 4
S. Rzeszow 3
Podbeskidzie 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3
Sandecja Nowy S. 2
Beskid Andrychow 1
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Motor Lublin 3
Legia 0
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork 1
Lechia Gdansk 2
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice 0
Polonia Warszawa 1
Widzew Lodz 0
Korona Kielce 1
Plock II 0
Puszcza 2
Luzino 2
Wisla Plock 3
Pruszkow 2
Cracovia 1
Zielona Gora 0
Ruch Chorzow 2
Gornik Zabrze II 3
Ol. Grudziadz 4
Suwalki 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet 5
Chemik Bydgoszcz 0
Piast Gliwice 3
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole 2
Wisla 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Pogon Szczecin 1
Leczna 4
Stal Mielec 3
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
LKS Lodz 0
Kluczevia Stargard 2
Pogon Siedlce 3
1/16-finals
Chrobry Glogow -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
Lech Poznan -
Kleczew -
Podhale Nowy Targ -
Avia Swidnik -
Radomiak Radom -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
Slask Wroclaw II -
Motor Lublin -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Lechia Gdansk -
Jagiellonia -
Polonia Warszawa -
Korona Kielce -
Puszcza -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow -
Ruch Chorzow -
Ol. Grudziadz -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Piast Gliwice -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
Slask Wroclaw -
Leczna -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy -
Pogon Siedlce -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -