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Zielona Gora vs Stal Stalowa Wola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zielona Gora host Stal Stalowa Wola in the Division 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Zielona Gora have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.64 conceded recently, against Stal Stalowa Wola's 1.63 scored and 1.44 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.69) point toward Zielona Gora. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zielona Gora
15%
Draws
48%
Stal Stalowa Wola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stal Stalowa Wola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Stal Stalowa Wola haven't matched Zielona Gora's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Stal Stalowa Wola a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 13%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Stal Stalowa Wola
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.68 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 27 / 100
Stal Stalowa Wola 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Stal Stalowa Wola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stal Stalowa Wola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zielona Gora's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stal Stalowa Wola conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Zielona Gora remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Stal Stalowa Wola registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zielona Gora VS Stal Stalowa Wola
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zielona Gora

(Home)
31 Oct
Tychy
1 : 2
Zielona Gora
24 Oct
Zielona Gora
0 : 6
Leczna
18 Oct
Podhale Nowy Targ
0 : 0
Zielona Gora
10 Oct
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Legia II
03 Oct
Sandecja Nowy S.
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
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Stal Stalowa Wola

(Away)
31 Oct
Stal Stalowa Wola
1 : 2
Kleczew
24 Oct
Stal Stalowa Wola
1 : 0
Sandecja Nowy S.
17 Oct
Leczna
1 : 2
Stal Stalowa Wola
10 Oct
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 2
Slask Wroclaw II
04 Oct
Pruszkow
4 : 2
Stal Stalowa Wola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 14 10 2 2 27:15 32
2 Tychy 14 7 6 1 20:9 27
3 Leczna 14 8 2 4 31:15 26
4 Zawisza 14 6 4 4 26:20 22
5 Sandecja Nowy S. 14 6 4 4 21:17 22
6 Ol. Grudziadz 14 6 4 4 18:20 22
7 Hutnik Krakow 14 6 3 5 23:20 21
8 Podhale Nowy Targ 14 5 6 3 24:22 21
9 Legia II 14 6 1 7 28:24 19
10 Stal Stalowa Wola 14 6 1 7 23:26 19
11 Zielona Gora 14 5 4 5 22:25 19
12 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 14 5 3 6 19:17 18
13 Chojniczanka 13 5 3 5 23:23 18
14 Avia Swidnik 13 5 2 6 16:20 17
15 Kleczew 14 3 6 5 18:28 15
16 Slask Wroclaw II 14 3 1 10 22:30 10
17 Swit Szczecin 14 2 4 8 16:32 10
18 R. Rzeszow 14 0 6 8 9:23 6
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)