Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zielona Gora vs Swit Szczecin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Kurowski I.
30' Event
Fraczczak A.
(Penalty)
46' Event
Nowak K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Zielona Gora and Swit Szczecin finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swit Szczecin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Zielona Gora
15%
Draws
28%
Swit Szczecin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zielona Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zielona Gora come out ahead of Swit Szczecin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zielona Gora a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 18%
Swit Szczecin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Swit Szczecin
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.63 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 2
Zielona Gora vs Swit Szczecin
1:4
Aug 13, 2020 Polish Cup
Zielona Gora vs Swit Szczecin
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Bargiel P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Swit Szczecin Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowak K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fraczczak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 67 / 100
Swit Szczecin 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Swit Szczecin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zielona Gora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zielona Gora scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Swit Szczecin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Swit Szczecin's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zielona Gora VS Swit Szczecin
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zielona Gora

(Home)
10 Oct
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Legia II
03 Oct
Sandecja Nowy S.
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
19 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 3
Pruszkow
11 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 1
Zielona Gora
05 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 4
Swit Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

Swit Szczecin

(Away)
10 Oct
Avia Swidnik
1 : 0
Swit Szczecin
03 Oct
Swit Szczecin
2 : 1
Kleczew
23 Sept
Pogon Szczecin II
2 : 0
Swit Szczecin
18 Sept
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
3 : 0
Swit Szczecin
12 Sept
Swit Szczecin
1 : 5
Chojniczanka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Tychy 11 6 5 0 17:6 23
3 Leczna 11 6 2 3 21:13 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
9 Zielona Gora 11 4 3 4 20:18 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 11 4 2 5 14:17 14
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 4 1 6 19:23 13
14 Legia II 10 4 0 6 20:17 12
15 Slask Wroclaw II 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 11 2 2 7 11:25 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)