Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zimbabwe vs Burkina Faso

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade El Bachir, Mohammedia
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Aziz Ki S.
29' Event
Irie C.

AI Match Summary

Burkina Faso in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burkina Faso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Zimbabwe
30%
Draws
23%
Burkina Faso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zimbabwe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Burkina Faso lately — more wins on the board than Zimbabwe.
  • Win probability leans Zimbabwe's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Zimbabwe Clean Sheet 19%
Burkina Faso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbabwe Burkina Faso
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Zimbabwe vs Burkina Faso
0:2
Jan 20, 2021 African Nations Championship
Burkina Faso vs Zimbabwe
3:1
Jan 20, 2014 African Nations Championship
Burkina Faso vs Zimbabwe
0:1
May 29, 2007 Friendly International
Zimbabwe vs Burkina Faso
1:1
Jul 14, 2001 World Championship
Zimbabwe vs Burkina Faso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zimbabwe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Burkina Faso Compare

Top Goalscorer Aziz Ki S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Irie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbabwe 58 / 100
Burkina Faso 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbabwe Burkina Faso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zimbabwe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zimbabwe found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Burkina Faso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Zimbabwe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zimbabwe VS Burkina Faso
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbabwe

(Home)
24 Sept
Sierra Leone
2 : 3
Zimbabwe
30 May
India
0 : 1
Zimbabwe
26 May
Nigeria
2 : 0
Zimbabwe
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
28 Mar
Botswana
0 : 3
Zimbabwe
Page 1 of 6

Burkina Faso

(Away)
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Guinea Bissau
28 Mar
Burkina Faso
5 : 0
Guinea Bissau
Page 1 of 6