Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zimbabwe W vs Botswana W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Makore R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Zimbabwe W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zimbabwe W
39%
Draws
30%
Botswana W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Botswana W have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Zimbabwe W are scoring more at 1.38.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Botswana W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Zimbabwe W Clean Sheet 23%
Botswana W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbabwe W Botswana W
Matches Played 27 36
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
Zimbabwe W vs Botswana W
1:0
Oct 11, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
Zimbabwe W vs Botswana W
1:1
Feb 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Botswana W vs Zimbabwe W
0:2
Feb 18, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Zimbabwe W vs Botswana W
1:3
Oct 4, 2021 COSAFA Cup Women
Botswana W vs Zimbabwe W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zimbabwe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Makore R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Botswana W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbabwe W 33 / 100
Botswana W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbabwe W Botswana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zimbabwe W scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Botswana W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Zimbabwe W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zimbabwe W VS Botswana W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbabwe W

(Home)
09 Jun
Zambia W
3 : 0
Zimbabwe W
06 Jun
Zimbabwe W
3 : 1
Lesotho W
01 Mar
Zambia W
3 : 1
Zimbabwe W
27 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 1
Zimbabwe W
24 Feb
Zimbabwe W
1 : 0
Botswana W
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Botswana W

(Away)
12 Apr
Saudi Arabia U20 W
0 : 3
Botswana W
10 Apr
Saudi Arabia W
1 : 1
Botswana W
24 Feb
Zimbabwe W
1 : 0
Botswana W
22 Feb
Botswana W
1 : 1
Eswatini W
19 Feb
Zambia W
3 : 0
Botswana W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Africa W32105:17
2Malawi W32019:36
3Angola W31023:43
4Lesotho W30123:121
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia W32105:17
2Zimbabwe W32103:07
3Eswatini W30122:51
4Botswana W30121:51
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Namibia W21012:13
2Mozambique W21012:23
3Madagascar W21011:23
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams