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Zimbabwe W vs Uganda W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uganda W in this COSAFA Cup Women 2018 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Zimbabwe W
15%
Draws
28%
Uganda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zimbabwe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Uganda W have won more games recently than Zimbabwe W.
  • Zimbabwe W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Uganda W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Zimbabwe W Clean Sheet 20%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbabwe W Uganda W
Matches Played 27 37
Wins 12 21
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.92
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
Zimbabwe W vs Uganda W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbabwe W 40 / 100
Uganda W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbabwe W Uganda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zimbabwe W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zimbabwe W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Uganda W conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Uganda W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zimbabwe W VS Uganda W
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbabwe W

(Home)
09 Jun
Zambia W
3 : 0
Zimbabwe W
06 Jun
Zimbabwe W
3 : 1
Lesotho W
01 Mar
Zambia W
3 : 1
Zimbabwe W
27 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 1
Zimbabwe W
24 Feb
Zimbabwe W
1 : 0
Botswana W
Page 1 of 6

Uganda W

(Away)
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Botswana W 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
3 Malawi W 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Madagascar W 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Cameroon W 3 2 0 1 14:2 6
3 Mozambique W 3 1 0 2 3:12 3
4 Lesotho W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda W 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Zimbabwe W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Namibia W 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Eswatini W 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)