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Zimbru Chisinau 2 vs Falesti

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025/2026 game between Zimbru Chisinau 2 and Falesti finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Falesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Zimbru Chisinau 2
15%
Draws
36%
Falesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zimbru Chisinau 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zimbru Chisinau 2 come out ahead of Falesti on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zimbru Chisinau 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbru Chisinau 2 Falesti
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.83 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2 vs Falesti
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbru Chisinau 2 34 / 100
Falesti 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbru Chisinau 2 Falesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falesti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falesti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Zimbru Chisinau 2's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Falesti registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Zimbru Chisinau 2 VS Falesti
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbru Chisinau 2

(Home)
18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau 2
11 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau 2
1 : 1
Univer Comrat
04 Sept
Sparta Selemet
3 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau 2
28 Aug
Vulturii Cutezatori
5 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2
21 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau 2
1 : 3
FCM Ungheni
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Falesti

(Away)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCM Ungheni 7 5 0 2 24:13 15
2 Falesti 7 4 1 2 12:8 13
3 Univer Comrat 7 3 2 2 11:12 11
4 Oguzsport 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 7 3 0 4 11:10 9
6 Victoria 7 2 2 3 10:15 8
7 Olimp Comrat 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
8 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)