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Zimbru Chisinau 2 vs FCM Ungheni Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Zimbru Chisinau 2 and FCM Ungheni finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FCM Ungheni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Zimbru Chisinau 2
20%
Draws
57%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • FCM Ungheni carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FCM Ungheni a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Zimbru Chisinau 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbru Chisinau 2 FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.83 2.77
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Liga 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2 vs FCM Ungheni
1:3
Apr 24, 2026 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru Chisinau 2
5:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2 vs FCM Ungheni
0:2
Sep 19, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru Chisinau 2
3:3
Aug 8, 2025 Liga 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2 vs FCM Ungheni
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbru Chisinau 2 10 / 100
FCM Ungheni 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbru Chisinau 2 FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Zimbru Chisinau 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Zimbru Chisinau 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zimbru Chisinau 2 VS FCM Ungheni
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbru Chisinau 2

(Home)
18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau 2
11 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau 2
1 : 1
Univer Comrat
04 Sept
Sparta Selemet
3 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau 2
28 Aug
Vulturii Cutezatori
5 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2
21 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau 2
1 : 3
FCM Ungheni
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FCM Ungheni

(Away)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 8 6 1 1 27:14 19
2 Iskra Ribnita 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
3 FCM Ungheni 8 4 2 2 23:16 14
4 Univer Comrat 8 2 3 3 17:17 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 8 2 1 5 14:20 7
6 Sparta Selemet 8 0 1 7 10:38 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 7 4 2 1 8:3 14
2 Stauceni 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Falesti 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)