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Zimbru Chisinau vs CSF Balti

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Stadionul Zimbru
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zimbru Chisinau play CSF Balti in the Super Liga. Zimbru Chisinau are favorites here. Recently, Zimbru Chisinau averaged 2.24 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. CSF Balti averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Zimbru Chisinau won 5, CSF Balti won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Zimbru Chisinau and 0.75 for CSF Balti. This points to a Zimbru Chisinau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Zimbru Chisinau
15%
Draws
27%
CSF Balti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zimbru Chisinau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Zimbru Chisinau picked up more points recently compared to CSF Balti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 27%
CSF Balti Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbru Chisinau CSF Balti
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs CSF Balti
3:0
May 2, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs CSF Balti
4:1
Mar 21, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Zimbru Chisinau
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs CSF Balti
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosario R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonathas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

CSF Balti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbru Chisinau 58 / 100
CSF Balti 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbru Chisinau CSF Balti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zimbru Chisinau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Zimbru Chisinau & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zimbru Chisinau attacking → ← attacking CSF Balti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zimbru Chisinau scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

CSF Balti let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Zimbru Chisinau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CSF Balti lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 34
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Petrocub Hincesti22007:16
2Sheriff Tiraspol21103:04
3Zimbru Chisinau21103:04
4Dacia Buiucani21014:23
5CSF Balti21013:33
6Politehnica UTM20110:31
7Milsami20110:51
8Real Sireti20020:60