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Zimbru Chisinau vs Milsami

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup 2025/2026 Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
Zimbru Chisinau Logo

Zimbru Chisinau

2 - 0
FT
Milsami Logo

Milsami

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Iosipoi M. In: Chele S.
Out: Iosipoi M.
21'
Sub
Ceijas T. In: Matteo Amoroso
Out: Ceijas T.
40' Event
Jonathas
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Zimbru Chisinau advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Zimbru Chisinau
35%
Draws
30%
Milsami
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Milsami haven't matched Zimbru Chisinau's recent run of results.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Zimbru Chisinau taking it.
  • Zimbru Chisinau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zimbru Chisinau, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 20%
Milsami Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbru Chisinau Milsami
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.06 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Super Liga
Milsami vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:0
May 13, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Milsami vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:1
May 6, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Zimbru Chisinau vs Milsami
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Milsami
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 Super Liga
Milsami vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonathas
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Milsami Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbru Chisinau 58 / 100
Milsami 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbru Chisinau Milsami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zimbru Chisinau's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Milsami conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zimbru Chisinau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Zimbru Chisinau VS Milsami
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbru Chisinau

(Home)
09 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
1 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
02 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
0 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau
30 Jul
Noah
2 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau
26 Jul
Politehnica UTM
0 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
23 Jul
Zimbru Chisinau
1 : 1
Noah
Page 1 of 7

Milsami

(Away)
08 Aug
Politehnica UTM
1 : 1
Milsami
01 Aug
Milsami
2 : 2
Real Sireti
26 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0
Milsami
19 Jul
Milsami
2 : 1
CSF Balti
16 Jul
Milsami
0 : 1
Velez Mostar
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Oguzsport 1
Olimp Comrat 2
Zaria Balti -
TBD -
Falesti 1
Victoria 2
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 3
Steaua Nordului 2
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Stauceni 7
National Ialoveni 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 6
Constructorul Leova 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Real Sireti 7
CSFCJT Atletico 2
Milsami -
TBD -
Floresti 6
EFA Visoca 0
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
FC Congaz 1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
Olimp Comrat 0
CSF Balti 6
Victoria 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 7
FCM Ungheni 0
Dacia Buiucani 1
Stauceni 0
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Univer Comrat 0
Politehnica UTM 6
Real Sireti 1
Milsami 1
Floresti 0
Sparta Selemet 3
Iskra Ribnita 1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
CSF Balti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 4
Dacia Buiucani 1
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Politehnica UTM 0
Milsami 5
Sparta Selemet 0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 3
Milsami 0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 0