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Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gandi S.
13' Event
Jonathas
46'
Sub
Lipcan N. In: Andreiciu D.
Out: Lipcan N.

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga game between Zimbru Chisinau and Politehnica UTM finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zimbru Chisinau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Zimbru Chisinau
15%
Draws
34%
Politehnica UTM
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zimbru Chisinau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Politehnica UTM haven't matched Zimbru Chisinau's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zimbru Chisinau a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zimbru Chisinau have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 20%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbru Chisinau Politehnica UTM
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
2:1
Jul 26, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:2
Apr 21, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:5
Mar 3, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
5:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonathas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonnah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Politehnica UTM Compare

Top Goalscorer Gandi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbru Chisinau 40 / 100
Politehnica UTM 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbru Chisinau Politehnica UTM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zimbru Chisinau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Zimbru Chisinau's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Politehnica UTM conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Politehnica UTM has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zimbru Chisinau VS Politehnica UTM
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbru Chisinau

(Home)
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
06 Sept
Real Sireti
0 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
Page 1 of 7

Politehnica UTM

(Away)
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)