Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zimbru Chisinau vs Saksan

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup 2024/2025 Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Shchebetun O.
49' Event
Ordonez A.
77' Event
Ordonez A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Zimbru Chisinau advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zimbru Chisinau
15%
Draws
57%
Saksan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saksan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Saksan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Saksan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Saksan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zimbru Chisinau, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 20%
Saksan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbru Chisinau Saksan
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 19 23
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.12 3.06
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Saksan vs Zimbru Chisinau
1:2
Apr 2, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Zimbru Chisinau vs Saksan
3:0
Feb 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Saksan vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:5
Mar 11, 2017 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Saksan
0:0
Mar 1, 2017 Super Liga
Saksan vs Zimbru Chisinau
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Shchebetun O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ordonez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Saksan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbru Chisinau 10 / 100
Saksan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbru Chisinau Saksan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saksan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zimbru Chisinau found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Saksan let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Zimbru Chisinau remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zimbru Chisinau VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbru Chisinau

(Home)
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
06 Sept
Real Sireti
0 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
Page 1 of 7

Saksan

(Away)
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Speranis
21 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
16 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
10 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
06 May
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
Saksan
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barsa Ungheni 2
FC Chisinau 0
Edinet 3
Steaua Nordului 4
CSF Balti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimpia Falesti 3
Oguzsport 1
Tarigrad 0
Sireti 2
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Constructorul Leova 0
Univer Comrat 1
La Familia 0
Saksan 7
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
EFA Visoca 4
Speranta Drochia 2
Real Succes 3
Vulturii Cutezatori 2
Floresti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Granicerul 1
FCM Ungheni 4
CRF Nisporeni 1
Falesti 4
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Congaz -
Speranis -
CSFCJT Atletico 2
Victoria 8
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Socol Copceac 1
Stauceni 6
Straseni 1
Olimp Comrat 4
Milsami -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lia Sadaclia 0
Locomotiva Ocnita 3
Codru Calarasi 2
Iskra Ribnita 5
1/16-finals
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
Barsa Ungheni 1
Steaua Nordului 0
CSF Balti -
TBD -
Olimpia Falesti 1
Sireti 2
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 0
Saksan 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
EFA Visoca 7
Real Succes 0
Floresti -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 6
Falesti 5
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
Speranis 0
Victoria 4
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Stauceni 1
Olimp Comrat 3
Milsami -
TBD -
Locomotiva Ocnita 0
Iskra Ribnita 5
1/8-finals
Sheriff Tiraspol 9
Barsa Ungheni 0
CSF Balti 5
Sireti 2
Dacia Buiucani 0
Saksan 1
Zimbru Chisinau 5
EFA Visoca 3
Floresti 1
FCM Ungheni 5
Sparta Selemet 1
Victoria 0
Petrocub Hincesti 14
Olimp Comrat 1
Milsami 1
Iskra Ribnita 0
Quarter-finals
Sheriff Tiraspol 5
CSF Balti 1
Saksan 1
Zimbru Chisinau 5
FCM Ungheni 3
Sparta Selemet 4
Petrocub Hincesti 2
Milsami 3
Semi-finals
Sheriff Tiraspol 3
Zimbru Chisinau 1
Sparta Selemet 3
Milsami 8
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Milsami 1