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Zimbru Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
Zimbru Chisinau Logo

Zimbru Chisinau

2 - 1
FT
Sheriff Tiraspol Logo

Sheriff Tiraspol

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Magassouba S.
30' Event
Caio Dantas
46'
Sub
Ouedraogo M. In: Fratea V.
Out: Ouedraogo M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga game between Zimbru Chisinau and Sheriff Tiraspol finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zimbru Chisinau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Zimbru Chisinau
15%
Draws
53%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sheriff Tiraspol come out ahead of Zimbru Chisinau on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Sheriff Tiraspol taking it.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 14%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbru Chisinau Sheriff Tiraspol
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 19 21
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
4:2
May 23, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
2:0
May 10, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Dantas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonathas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Asprilla Moreno J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbru Chisinau 10 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbru Chisinau Sheriff Tiraspol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Zimbru Chisinau scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Sheriff Tiraspol conceded in 47% of 36 recent games.

Solid form: Zimbru Chisinau remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zimbru Chisinau VS Sheriff Tiraspol
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbru Chisinau

(Home)
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
06 Sept
Real Sireti
0 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
Page 1 of 7

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Away)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)