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Zinza vs Rio Sao Paulo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Emerson
Own Goal
47' Event
Christian Carioca
53' Event
Santarem

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Zinza and Rio Sao Paulo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zinza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zinza
6%
Draws
4%
Rio Sao Paulo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zinza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zinza come out ahead of Rio Sao Paulo on wins alone.
  • Zinza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Zinza Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zinza Rio Sao Paulo
Matches Played 17 27
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2024 Carioca B2
Zinza vs Rio Sao Paulo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zinza Compare

Top Goalscorer Christian Carioca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santarem
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Rio Sao Paulo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zinza 95 / 100
Rio Sao Paulo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zinza Rio Sao Paulo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Rio Sao Paulo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Rio Sao Paulo let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Zinza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zinza VS Rio Sao Paulo
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campo Grande1182123:626
2Bonsucesso1164120:522
3Niteroiense1163219:1221
4AA Carapebus1162323:1120
5Serra Macaense1145210:717
6Zinza1144313:816
7Barra Mansa1143412:1015
8Uni Souza1143413:1815
97 de Abril1124512:1310
10FC Rio de Janeiro1122712:238
11Mageense1120911:306
12Rio Sao Paulo112098:336