Sport Picks
Zira FK vs Qarabag Agdam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League Zira Stadium, Zira 
Match Events
27'
27'
Sub
Vieirinha In: Ibrahimli I.
Out: Vieirinha
28'
28'
Ibrahimli I.
50'
50'
Matheus Silva
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qarabag Agdam
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Zira FK haven't matched Qarabag Agdam's recent run of results.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 20%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zira FK | Qarabag Agdam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Zira FK vs Qarabag Agdam
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Zira FK vs Qarabag Agdam
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs Qarabag Agdam
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Zira FK
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Zira FK
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zira FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Djibrilla I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Qarabag Agdam Compare
Top Goalscorer Kashchuk O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zira FK 31 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zira FK Qarabag Agdam
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zira FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zira FK found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Qarabag Agdam conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Zira FK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Zira FK VS Qarabag Agdam
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Zira FK
(Home) 19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0 Zira FK
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0 Zira FK
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0 Neftci Baku
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1 Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0 Neftci Baku
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1 Imisli FK
16 Aug
Zira FK
2 : 0 Safa Baku
30 Jul
Zira FK
1 : 1 Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 3
Qarabag Agdam
(Away) 18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0 Safa Baku
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2 Araz PFK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
27 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 4 Twente
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
20 Aug
Twente
0 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
06 Aug
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 0 Qarabag Agdam
30 Jul
CSKA Sofia
1 : 0 Qarabag Agdam
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 8 | SumQayit FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 9 | Gabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)
