Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

Premier League Zira Stadium

Zira FK

1 - 3

Qarabag Agdam

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Montiel J.

55'

Duran C.

56'

Sub

Muradov R. In: Nuriyev C.

Out: Muradov R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Qarabag Agdam in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Qarabag Agdam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Zira FK

20%

Draws

38%

Qarabag Agdam

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zira FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Zira FK haven't matched Qarabag Agdam's recent run of results.
Zira FK are the model's pick here, at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Zira FK Clean Sheet 68%

Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zira FK	Qarabag Agdam
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	9	13
Draws	12	5
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.25	2.5
Goals Conceded	0.88	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League

Zira FK vs Qarabag Agdam

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

1:3

Dec 6, 2025 Premier League

Zira FK vs Qarabag Agdam

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Sep 12, 2025 Premier League

Qarabag Agdam vs Zira FK

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Apr 6, 2025 Premier League

Qarabag Agdam vs Zira FK

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Feb 2, 2025 Premier League

Zira FK vs Qarabag Agdam

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zira FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuriyev C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Qarabag Agdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Duran C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zira FK 51 / 100

Qarabag Agdam 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zira FK Qarabag Agdam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zira FK's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Qarabag Agdam conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Zira FK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zira FK VS Qarabag Agdam

1.25 Goals Scored 2.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sabah Baku	33	24	6	3	75:25	78
2	Qarabag Agdam	33	21	6	6	71:27	69
3	Turan	33	17	8	8	44:27	59
4	Neftci Baku	33	16	11	6	57:32	59
5	Zira FK	33	13	14	6	43:36	53
6	Araz PFK	33	13	7	13	44:58	46
7	SumQayit FK	33	12	5	16	45:49	41
8	Shamakhi	33	9	11	13	31:40	38
9	Imisli FK	33	7	13	13	23:43	34
10	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25:61	27
11	Gabala	33	7	6	20	32:49	27
12	Karvan	33	3	6	24	23:66	15