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Zira FK vs Shamakhi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Zira Stadium, Zira
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Martins R.
50'
Sub
Martins R. In: Hacyly H.
Out: Martins R.
53' Event
Shuaibu A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Zira FK and Shamakhi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zira FK
35%
Draws
37%
Shamakhi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shamakhi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zira FK come out ahead of Shamakhi on wins alone.
  • Shamakhi are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 24%
Shamakhi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zira FK Shamakhi
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.22 1.04
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Premier League
Zira FK vs Shamakhi
1:1
Apr 7, 2026 Premier League
Zira FK vs Shamakhi
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Zira FK
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs Shamakhi
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs Shamakhi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zira FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutsinzi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Shamakhi Compare

Top Goalscorer Shuaibu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zira FK 21 / 100
Shamakhi 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zira FK Shamakhi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamakhi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zira FK scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Shamakhi conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Zira FK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zira FK VS Shamakhi
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zira FK

(Home)
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
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Shamakhi

(Away)
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
29 Aug
Gabala
0 : 0
Shamakhi
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
8 Gabala 6 1 1 4 2:7 4
9 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
10 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
11 SumQayit FK 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)