Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Zira Stadium

Zira FK

1 - 1

Shamakhi

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Abbasov R.

46'

Sub

Muradov R. In: Aliyev Q.

Out: Muradov R.

46'

Sub

Fernandes R. In: Mammadov O.

Out: Fernandes R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Zira FK

Draws

Shamakhi

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zira FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Zira FK lately — more wins on the board than Shamakhi.
Win probability leans Zira FK's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Zira FK Clean Sheet 68%

Shamakhi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zira FK	Shamakhi
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	11	10
Draws	11	9
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	0.88	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Premier League

Zira FK vs Shamakhi

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Dec 13, 2025 Premier League

Shamakhi vs Zira FK

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Sep 19, 2025 Premier League

Zira FK vs Shamakhi

Possession: 60% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Mar 30, 2025 Premier League

Zira FK vs Shamakhi

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

Jan 24, 2025 Premier League

Shamakhi vs Zira FK

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zira FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mickels L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Shamakhi Compare

Top Goalscorer Adilkhanov E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zira FK 95 / 100

Shamakhi 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zira FK Shamakhi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZIR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zira FK found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Zira FK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Shamakhi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zira FK VS Shamakhi

0.88 Goals Scored 0.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sabah Baku	33	24	6	3	75:25	78
2	Qarabag Agdam	33	21	6	6	71:27	69
3	Turan	33	17	8	8	44:27	59
4	Neftci Baku	33	16	11	6	57:32	59
5	Zira FK	33	13	14	6	43:36	53
6	Araz PFK	33	13	7	13	44:58	46
7	SumQayit FK	33	12	5	16	45:49	41
8	Shamakhi	33	9	11	13	31:40	38
9	Imisli FK	33	7	13	13	23:43	34
10	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25:61	27
11	Gabala	33	7	6	20	32:49	27
12	Karvan	33	3	6	24	23:66	15