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Ziri vs Tolmin

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Ziri Logo

Ziri

0 - 3
FT
Tolmin Logo

Tolmin

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Ziri and Tolmin finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tolmin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ziri
35%
Draws
50%
Tolmin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Tolmin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tolmin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tolmin have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ziri Clean Sheet 10%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ziri Tolmin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.03 2
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Tolmin
2:4
May 23, 2026 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Tolmin
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Ziri
3:1
May 13, 2023 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Ziri
2:0
Nov 8, 2022 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Tolmin
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ziri 10 / 100
Tolmin 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ziri Tolmin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Tolmin let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Ziri remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ziri's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ziri VS Tolmin
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ziri

(Home)
27 Sept
Ziri
0 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
20 Sept
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Ziri
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
29 Aug
Ziri
0 : 3
Dob
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Tolmin

(Away)
27 Sept
Tolmin
5 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)