Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zmaj Makarska vs HNK Zadar

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Zmaj Makarska and HNK Zadar finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Zmaj Makarska
33%
Draws
40%
HNK Zadar
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: HNK Zadar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HNK Zadar come out ahead of Zmaj Makarska on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans HNK Zadar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 13%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zmaj Makarska HNK Zadar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.33 2
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs HNK Zadar
0:0
Sep 8, 2021 3. HNL South
HNK Zadar vs Zmaj Makarska
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zmaj Makarska 27 / 100
HNK Zadar 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zmaj Makarska HNK Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zmaj Makarska's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: HNK Zadar conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Zmaj Makarska has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zmaj Makarska VS HNK Zadar
0.33 Goals Scored 2
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zmaj Makarska

(Home)
03 Aug
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 2
NK Junak Sinj
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0
Zmaj Makarska
07 May
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 0
Zagora
Page 1 of 6

HNK Zadar

(Away)
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
02 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Sutjeska
20 Jan
HNK Zadar
0 : 2
Sibenik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)