Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL South

Neretva

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zmaj Makarska play Neretva in the 3. HNL South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zmaj Makarska averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Neretva averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Zmaj Makarska won 1, Neretva won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 2, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Zmaj Makarska and 1.38 for Neretva. This points to a Neretva double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Zmaj Makarska

Draws

90%

Neretva

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Neretva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Neretva has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Zmaj Makarska.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Neretva.
League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. HNL South provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 17%

Neretva Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zmaj Makarska	Neretva
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	10	15
Draws	9	5
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	0.5	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.25	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 3. HNL South

Zmaj Makarska vs Neretva

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Oct 2, 2021 3. HNL South

Neretva vs Zmaj Makarska

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

2:0

Mar 27, 2021 3. HNL South

Neretva vs Zmaj Makarska

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

4:1

Sep 12, 2020 3. HNL South

Zmaj Makarska vs Neretva

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zmaj Makarska 10 / 100

Neretva 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zmaj Makarska Neretva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NER Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zmaj Makarska scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Neretva let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Zmaj Makarska went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Neretva lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zmaj Makarska VS Neretva

0.5 Goals Scored 1.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jadran Luka Ploce	34	20	5	9	67:28	65
2	Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje	34	18	6	10	56:38	60
3	Hrvace	34	18	6	10	46:39	60
4	HNK Zadar	34	16	11	7	69:28	59
5	Neretva	34	16	7	11	50:36	55
6	RNK Split	34	15	7	12	52:40	52
7	NK Junak Sinj	34	16	4	14	49:46	52
8	Uskok Klis	34	15	6	13	51:54	51
9	Sloga Mravince	34	12	14	8	48:45	50
10	Primorac Biograd	34	14	6	14	60:56	48
11	Zagora	34	12	8	14	47:52	44
12	GOSK Dubrovnik	34	11	10	13	35:34	43
13	Zmaj Makarska	34	11	10	13	28:39	43
14	Neretvanac	34	10	8	16	40:53	38
15	Kamen Podbablje	34	9	10	15	37:51	37
16	Vodice	34	8	9	17	44:73	33
17	Urania Baska Voda	34	10	3	21	33:65	33
18	OSK Otok	34	6	8	20	48:83	26