Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Znicz Biala Piska vs Jagiellonia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Kosmalski J.
67'
Debski M.
74' Event
Konanau M.

AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia II in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagiellonia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Znicz Biala Piska
6%
Draws
90%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jagiellonia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jagiellonia II have won more games recently than Znicz Biala Piska.
  • Win probability leans Jagiellonia II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Znicz Biala Piska Clean Sheet 10%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Znicz Biala Piska Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Znicz Biala Piska vs Jagiellonia II
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Znicz Biala Piska
0:0
May 11, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Znicz Biala Piska
2:1
Oct 9, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Znicz Biala Piska vs Jagiellonia II
0:3
Jun 8, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Znicz Biala Piska vs Jagiellonia II
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Znicz Biala Piska Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Konanau M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Znicz Biala Piska 10 / 100
Jagiellonia II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Znicz Biala Piska Jagiellonia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jagiellonia II conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Znicz Biala Piska scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Znicz Biala Piska stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Znicz Biala Piska VS Jagiellonia II
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Znicz Biala Piska

(Home)
30 May
Znicz Biala Piska
0 : 3
Legia II
23 May
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
16 May
Znicz Biala Piska
2 : 6
Zabkovia Zabki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Znicz Biala Piska
0 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
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Jagiellonia II

(Away)
25 Jul
Biala Podlaska
3 : 4
Jagiellonia II
11 Jul
KTS Weszlo
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
17 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1
Troszyn
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)