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Zob Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Foolad Shahr Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zob Ahan play Fajr Sepasi in the Persian Gulf Pro League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zob Ahan averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. Fajr Sepasi averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. In past meetings, Zob Ahan won 3, Fajr Sepasi won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 2, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Zob Ahan and 0.94 for Fajr Sepasi. This points to a Fajr Sepasi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zob Ahan
23%
Draws
40%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Fajr Sepasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zob Ahan picked up more points recently compared to Fajr Sepasi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Zob Ahan Clean Sheet 24%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zob Ahan Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.78 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Zob Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Zob Ahan
1:0
May 19, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Zob Ahan
0:1
Jan 3, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Zob Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi
2:0
Sep 8, 2017 Hazfi Cup
Zob Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zob Ahan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammadi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Latifi O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostami Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zob Ahan 38 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zob Ahan Fajr Sepasi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fajr Sepasi or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zob Ahan attacking → ← attacking Fajr Sepasi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zob Ahan scored in 41% of their last 27 games.

Fajr Sepasi let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Zob Ahan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fajr Sepasi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 34
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915