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Zorya vs Ch. Odesa

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zorya host Ch. Odesa in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Zorya have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against Ch. Odesa's 1.18 scored and 1.04 conceded. Head-to-head, Zorya have won 3 to Ch. Odesa's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 0.94, favoring Ch. Odesa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zorya
35%
Draws
32%
Ch. Odesa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ch. Odesa come out ahead of Zorya on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zorya a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zorya Clean Sheet 20%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zorya Ch. Odesa
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Ch. Odesa vs Zorya
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Zorya vs Ch. Odesa
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Zorya
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Premier League
Zorya vs Ch. Odesa
1:0
Nov 1, 2023 Ukrainian Cup
Ch. Odesa vs Zorya
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zorya 85 / 100
Ch. Odesa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zorya Ch. Odesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zorya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zorya scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Ch. Odesa let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Zorya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zorya VS Ch. Odesa
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zorya

(Home)
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Zorya
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
06 Sept
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Zorya
31 Aug
Zorya
0 : 3
FC Kharkiv
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Ch. Odesa

(Away)
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
23 Aug
FC Vilkhivtsi
1 : 0
Ch. Odesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
8 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
9 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
10 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
11 Veres Rivne 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 6 0 2 4 4:16 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)