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Zorya vs FC Kharkiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho, Kyiv
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Itodo P.
40'
Gadzhyev R.
51'
Sub
Rybak V. In: Karavashchenko l.
Out: Rybak V.

AI Match Summary

FC Kharkiv in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Kharkiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Zorya
20%
Draws
48%
FC Kharkiv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Kharkiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Zorya haven't matched FC Kharkiv's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Kharkiv's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Zorya Clean Sheet 10%
FC Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zorya FC Kharkiv
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Premier League
Zorya vs FC Kharkiv
0:3
May 9, 2026 Premier League
Zorya vs FC Kharkiv
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Zorya
1:3
Mar 31, 2024 Premier League
Zorya vs FC Kharkiv
2:1
Sep 15, 2023 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Zorya
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zorya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

FC Kharkiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabergja B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Itodo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zorya 10 / 100
FC Kharkiv 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zorya FC Kharkiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Kharkiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zorya found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

FC Kharkiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zorya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zorya VS FC Kharkiv
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zorya

(Home)
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2
Zorya
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Zorya
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
06 Sept
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Zorya
Page 1 of 6

FC Kharkiv

(Away)
10 Oct
Ch. Odesa
1 : 2
FC Kharkiv
03 Oct
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
19 Sept
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0
Bukovyna
16 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 2
FC Kharkiv
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
3 FC Kharkiv 7 5 0 2 14:5 15
4 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
5 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
6 Veres Rivne 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
7 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
8 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
9 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
10 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
12 Ch. Odesa 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 7 0 2 5 5:18 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)