Sport Picks
Zorya vs Kolos Kovalivka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Premier League Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho, Kyiv 
Match Events
8'
8'
Burda M.
12'
12'
Sub
Denysenko D. In: Goncharenko R.
Out: Denysenko D.
46'
46'
Sub
Machelyuk A. In: Jelavic D.
Out: Machelyuk A.
AI Match Summary
Zorya in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zorya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zorya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Zorya haven't matched Kolos Kovalivka's recent run of results.
- Model gives Zorya a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Zorya Clean Sheet 68%
Kolos Kovalivka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zorya | Kolos Kovalivka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya
1:2
Jul 31, 2026 Premier League
Zorya vs Kolos Kovalivka
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Zorya vs Kolos Kovalivka
2:2
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Zorya vs Kolos Kovalivka
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zorya Compare
Top Goalscorer Budkivskyi P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zadorozhnyi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Kolos Kovalivka Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zorya 68 / 100
Kolos Kovalivka 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zorya Kolos Kovalivka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zorya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zorya's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Zorya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Kolos Kovalivka has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Zorya VS Kolos Kovalivka
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zorya
(Home) 04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2 Zorya
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2 Dynamo Kyiv
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1 Zorya
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2 Zorya
06 Sept
Veres Rivne
1 : 1 Zorya
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2 Dynamo Kyiv
31 Aug
Zorya
0 : 3 FC Kharkiv
09 Aug
Zorya
1 : 3 Kryvbas
31 Jul
Zorya
2 : 0 Kolos Kovalivka
23 Jul
Zorya
1 : 2 Goztepe
Page 1 of 3
Kolos Kovalivka
(Away) 04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2 Zorya
20 Sept
Kudrivka
2 : 3 Kolos Kovalivka
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3 Karpaty Lviv
11 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2 Karpaty Lviv
05 Sept
Kryvbas
2 : 2 Kolos Kovalivka
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Kudrivka
2 : 3 Kolos Kovalivka
05 Sept
Kryvbas
2 : 2 Kolos Kovalivka
22 Aug
UCSA
0 : 3 Kolos Kovalivka
16 Aug
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 1 Kolos Kovalivka
31 Jul
Zorya
2 : 0 Kolos Kovalivka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 18 |
| 3 | Karpaty Lviv | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Kharkiv | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:4 | 12 |
| 6 | Veres Rivne | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Epitsentr | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 8 | LNZ Cherkasy | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Zorya | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Livyi Bereg | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Bukovyna | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Ch. Odesa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Kolos Kovalivka | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Kryvbas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Obolon | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:12 | 4 |
| 16 | Kudrivka | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
