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Zorya vs SC Poltava

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Obolon Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zorya play SC Poltava in the Premier League 2025/2026. Zorya are favorites here. Recently, Zorya averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. SC Poltava averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Zorya won 2, SC Poltava won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Zorya and 0.88 for SC Poltava. This points to a Zorya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Zorya
27%
Draws
13%
SC Poltava
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Zorya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Zorya picked up more points recently compared to SC Poltava.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Zorya Clean Sheet 25%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zorya SC Poltava
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.62 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Zorya vs SC Poltava
4:0
Aug 29, 2025 Premier League
SC Poltava vs Zorya
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zorya Compare

Top Goalscorer Andjusic N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Budkivsky P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SC Poltava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zorya 59 / 100
SC Poltava 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zorya SC Poltava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zorya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Zorya & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zorya attacking → ← attacking SC Poltava

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zorya scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

SC Poltava let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Zorya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SC Poltava lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 15
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shakhtar30226271:2172
2LNZ Cherkasy30186639:1760
3Polissya Zhytomyr30185751:2159
4Dynamo Kyiv30176766:3657
5FC Kharkiv301312536:1951
6Kolos Kovalivka301310730:2549
7Kryvbas30139853:4648
8Zorya301210842:3646
9Karpaty Lviv301011940:3141
10Epitsentr30881436:4532
11Veres Rivne307101326:4031
12Obolon307101328:4931
13Kudrivka30771632:4828
14Rukh Lviv30632120:5121
15Oleksandriya30381924:5817
16SC Poltava30272123:7413