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ZPC Kariba vs Agama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zimbabwe Zimbabwe

Premier Soccer League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ZPC Kariba host Agama in the Premier Soccer League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: ZPC Kariba at 0.62 goals for, 0.93 against; Agama at 0.57 for, 1.32 against. Past meetings favor ZPC Kariba slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.00 - 0.63) back ZPC Kariba to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
ZPC Kariba
15%
Draws
36%
Agama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ZPC Kariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Agama lately — more wins on the board than ZPC Kariba.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on ZPC Kariba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
ZPC Kariba Clean Sheet 20%
Agama Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ZPC Kariba Agama
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 6
Draws 14 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.62 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier Soccer League
Agama vs ZPC Kariba
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ZPC Kariba 42 / 100
Agama 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ZPC Kariba Agama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agama has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Agama registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

ZPC Kariba scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

ZPC Kariba VS Agama
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ZPC Kariba

(Home)
19 Sept
Platinum
1 : 0
ZPC Kariba
12 Sept
CAPS Utd
2 : 1
ZPC Kariba
05 Sept
ZPC Kariba
0 : 0
Simba Bhora
22 Aug
MWOS
4 : 1
ZPC Kariba
15 Aug
Ngezi Platinum
0 : 1
ZPC Kariba
Page 1 of 6

Agama

(Away)
19 Sept
Scottland
3 : 0
Agama
05 Sept
Agama
1 : 0
Manica
22 Aug
Platinum
1 : 0
Agama
15 Aug
MWOS
2 : 0
Agama
01 Aug
Agama
0 : 1
Ngezi Platinum
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scottland 29 17 10 2 45:10 61
2 Hardrock 29 18 6 5 51:19 60
3 Ngezi Platinum 30 13 13 4 36:25 52
4 Dynamos 30 12 15 3 40:22 51
5 Herentals 29 14 6 9 31:26 48
6 CAPS Utd 29 12 11 6 34:25 47
7 Highlanders 30 9 15 6 26:22 42
8 Chicken Inn 29 11 8 10 23:24 41
9 MWOS 29 9 12 8 27:22 39
10 Platinum 29 8 15 6 19:20 39
11 Simba Bhora 29 8 11 10 29:30 35
12 Bulawayo Chiefs 29 7 10 12 25:33 31
13 Hunters 29 6 13 10 22:33 31
14 ZPC Kariba 29 5 14 10 17:26 29
15 Agama 29 6 7 16 17:38 25
16 Triangle 30 5 8 17 21:36 23
17 TelOne 29 4 9 16 20:42 21
18 Manica 29 4 7 18 14:44 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)