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Zug vs Black Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 2
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zug host Black Stars in the 1.Liga Classic Group 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Black Stars have shipped 1.91 goals a game lately, while Zug have conceded 2.16 and scored 1.26. Past meetings favor Black Stars slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.44) back Black Stars to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Zug
20%
Draws
20%
Black Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Black Stars have won more games recently than Zug.
  • Zug are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Black Stars here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Zug Clean Sheet 16%
Black Stars Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zug Black Stars
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.26 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Zug vs Black Stars
5:0
Nov 1, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Black Stars vs Zug
3:1
Mar 26, 2019 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Zug vs Black Stars
0:1
Sep 1, 2018 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Black Stars vs Zug
3:1
Apr 14, 2018 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Zug vs Black Stars
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zug 39 / 100
Black Stars 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zug Black Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zug Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Black Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Zug's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Black Stars registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zug VS Black Stars
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zug

(Home)
17 Oct
Gossau
1 : 0
Zug
11 Oct
Munsingen
1 : 2
Zug
03 Oct
Zug
1 : 2
Courtetelle
26 Sept
Concordia
3 : 0
Zug
19 Sept
Zug
1 : 0
Delemont
Page 1 of 7

Black Stars

(Away)
17 Oct
Dietikon
2 : 0
Black Stars
11 Oct
Black Stars
2 : 3
Solothurn
03 Oct
Muttenz
2 : 2
Black Stars
26 Sept
Black Stars
1 : 1
Bassecourt
18 Sept
Schotz
3 : 1
Black Stars
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Langenthal 10 7 2 1 27:18 23
2 Schotz 10 6 2 2 28:15 20
3 Courtetelle 10 6 1 3 20:11 19
4 Concordia 10 5 2 3 21:14 17
5 Delemont 10 5 2 3 17:10 17
6 Muttenz 10 5 2 3 20:16 17
7 Solothurn 10 5 1 4 25:20 16
8 Grasshopper II 10 5 0 5 16:17 15
9 Buochs 10 4 1 5 17:19 13
10 Muri-Gumligen 10 4 1 5 11:15 13
11 Thun II 10 3 3 4 22:25 12
12 Wohlen 10 3 3 4 11:15 12
13 Bassecourt 10 3 1 6 11:20 10
14 Zug 10 3 1 6 13:23 10
15 Black Stars 10 1 6 3 10:13 9
16 Munsingen 10 0 2 8 8:26 2
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)