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Zug vs Luzern

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2025/2026 Herti Allmend Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Villiger L.
52' Event
Grbic A.
Assist: Di Giusto M.
54'
Gustavo Campello

AI Match Summary

The Swiss Cup 2025/2026 game between Zug and Luzern finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Zug
6%
Draws
90%
Luzern
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Luzern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luzern come out ahead of Zug on wins alone.
  • Model gives Luzern a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Zug Clean Sheet 11%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zug Luzern
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 Swiss Cup
Zug vs Luzern
1:4
Sep 18, 2004 Swiss Cup
Zug vs Luzern
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zug Compare

Top Goalscorer Teichmann Ch.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Villiger L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grbic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zug 10 / 100
Luzern 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zug Luzern

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Zug found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Zug has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zug VS Luzern
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vernier0
Echallens1
Veyrier-Sports0
Lausanne Ouchy2
Harkingen2
Schaffhausen3
SV Schaffhausen0
Winterthur5
Zug1
Mendrisio0
Breitenrain1
Thun0
Breitenbach0
Bosna Neuchatel5
Perlen-Buchrain0
Luzern3
Romanshorn2
Altstatten4
Cham3
Lugano2
SC Nebikon0
Bellinzona4
Lachen/Altendorf0
Grasshoppers2
Wohlen1
Aarau3
Courtetelle1
Young Boys4
FC Lommiswil1
Prishtina Bern4
Ajoie-Monterri0
Sion2
La Tour Le Paquier0
Stade Nyonnais4
Wettswil-Bonstetten0
Zurich2
Unterstrass5
Klingnau4
Diaspora2
Xamax3
Stade Payerne1
Yverdon3
Dardania Lausanne0
Servette5
Azzurri Bienne0
Concordia8
Vevey1
Lausanne2
FC Morbio2
Gossau1
Volketswil0
Rapperswil-Jona8
Kriens2
Wil3
Walenstadt0
St. Gallen13
CS Le Locle2
FC Saxon-Sports1
La Sarraz-Eclepens1
Grand-Saconnex4
Bernex0
Etoile-Carouge3
Biel1
Basel6
1/16-finals
Echallens0
Lausanne Ouchy1
Schaffhausen0
Winterthur4
Zug1
Breitenrain0
Bosna Neuchatel0
Luzern6
Altstatten0
Cham3
Bellinzona0
Grasshoppers1
Aarau1
Young Boys0
Prishtina Bern0
Sion2
Stade Nyonnais2
Zurich1
Unterstrass0
Xamax5
Yverdon1
Servette0
Concordia1
Lausanne4
FC Morbio0
Rapperswil-Jona4
Wil1
St. Gallen2
CS Le Locle3
Grand-Saconnex4
Etoile-Carouge2
Basel3
1/8-finals
Lausanne Ouchy1
Winterthur0
Zug1
Luzern4
Cham1
Grasshoppers2
Aarau1
Sion3
Stade Nyonnais1
Xamax2
Yverdon2
Lausanne1
Rapperswil-Jona1
St. Gallen2
Grand-Saconnex1
Basel3
Quarter-finals
Lausanne Ouchy2
Luzern1
Grasshoppers4
Sion3
Xamax1
Yverdon2
St. Gallen2
Basel1
Semi-finals
Lausanne Ouchy2
Grasshoppers0
Yverdon0
St. Gallen2
Final
Lausanne Ouchy0
St. Gallen3