Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Villiger L.
52'
52'
Grbic A.
Assist: Di Giusto M.
54'
54'
Gustavo Campello
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-4, with Luzern advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luzern
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Luzern come out ahead of Zug on wins alone.
- Model gives Luzern a 47% chance of winning this.
- Luzern arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Luzern, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Zug Clean Sheet 10%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zug | Luzern |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.31 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.40 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 3, 2025 Swiss Cup
Zug vs Luzern
1:4
Sep 18, 2004 Swiss Cup
Zug vs Luzern
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zug Compare
Top Goalscorer Teichmann Ch.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Luzern Compare
Top Goalscorer Villiger L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Grbic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zug 26 / 100
Luzern 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zug Luzern
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Luzern Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Zug scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Luzern has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Zug remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Zug VS Luzern
1.29 Goals Scored 1.63
2.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zug
(Home) 13 Sept
Langenthal
6 : 2 Zug
05 Sept
Zug
2 : 2 Buochs
29 Aug
Grasshopper II
1 : 2 Zug
22 Aug
Zug
0 : 1 Muri-Gumligen
15 Aug
Wohlen
3 : 2 Zug
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Zug
2 : 2 Buochs
22 Aug
Zug
0 : 1 Muri-Gumligen
23 May
Zug
1 : 1 Bassecourt
09 May
Zug
5 : 0 Black Stars
25 Apr
Zug
0 : 2 Delemont
Page 1 of 3
Luzern
(Away) 13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4 Basel
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3 Luzern
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1 Vaduz
29 Aug
Servette
1 : 1 Luzern
22 Aug
Luzern
1 : 0 Lausanne
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3 Luzern
29 Aug
Servette
1 : 1 Luzern
16 Aug
Buochs
0 : 3 Luzern
09 Aug
St. Gallen
2 : 2 Luzern
02 Aug
Sion
3 : 0 Luzern
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Vernier 0
Echallens 1
Veyrier-Sports 0
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Harkingen 2
Schaffhausen 3
SV Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 5
Zug 1
Mendrisio 0
Breitenrain 1
Thun 0
Breitenbach 0
Bosna Neuchatel 5
Perlen-Buchrain 0
Luzern 3
Romanshorn 2
Altstatten 4
Cham 3
Lugano 2
SC Nebikon 0
Bellinzona 4
Lachen/Altendorf 0
Grasshoppers 2
Wohlen 1
Aarau 3
Courtetelle 1
Young Boys 4
FC Lommiswil 1
Prishtina Bern 4
Ajoie-Monterri 0
Sion 2
La Tour Le Paquier 0
Stade Nyonnais 4
Wettswil-Bonstetten 0
Zurich 2
Unterstrass 5
Klingnau 4
Diaspora 2
Xamax 3
Stade Payerne 1
Yverdon 3
Dardania Lausanne 0
Servette 5
Azzurri Bienne 0
Concordia 8
Vevey 1
Lausanne 2
FC Morbio 2
Gossau 1
Volketswil 0
Rapperswil-Jona 8
Kriens 2
Wil 3
Walenstadt 0
St. Gallen 13
CS Le Locle 2
FC Saxon-Sports 1
La Sarraz-Eclepens 1
Grand-Saconnex 4
Bernex 0
Etoile-Carouge 3
Biel 1
Basel 6
1/16-finals
Echallens 0
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 4
Zug 1
Breitenrain 0
Bosna Neuchatel 0
Luzern 6
Altstatten 0
Cham 3
Bellinzona 0
Grasshoppers 1
Aarau 1
Young Boys 0
Prishtina Bern 0
Sion 2
Stade Nyonnais 2
Zurich 1
Unterstrass 0
Xamax 5
Yverdon 1
Servette 0
Concordia 1
Lausanne 4
FC Morbio 0
Rapperswil-Jona 4
Wil 1
St. Gallen 2
CS Le Locle 3
Grand-Saconnex 4
Etoile-Carouge 2
Basel 3
1/8-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Winterthur 0
Zug 1
Luzern 4
Cham 1
Grasshoppers 2
Aarau 1
Sion 3
Stade Nyonnais 1
Xamax 2
Yverdon 2
Lausanne 1
Rapperswil-Jona 1
St. Gallen 2
Grand-Saconnex 1
Basel 3
Quarter-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Luzern 1
Grasshoppers 4
Sion 3
Xamax 1
Yverdon 2
St. Gallen 2
Basel 1
Semi-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Grasshoppers 0
Yverdon 0
St. Gallen 2
Final
Lausanne Ouchy 0
St. Gallen 3
