Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zumbi vs Alianca

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2025
Zumbi Logo

Zumbi

2 - 1
FT
Alianca Logo

Alianca

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Esquerdinha M. G.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Rikelm
88' Event
Pedro Rangel
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 2025 game between Zumbi and Alianca finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zumbi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zumbi
30%
Draws
33%
Alianca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zumbi come out ahead of Alianca on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Alianca taking it.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Zumbi Clean Sheet 14%
Alianca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zumbi Alianca
Matches Played 33 25
Wins 17 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Alianca
1:0
May 10, 2026 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Alianca
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zumbi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rikelm
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Rangel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Alianca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zumbi 23 / 100
Alianca 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zumbi Alianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zumbi scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Alianca let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Zumbi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Zumbi VS Alianca
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zumbi

(Home)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
Page 1 of 7

Alianca

(Away)
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
26 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
2 : 6
Alianca
22 Apr
Alianca
1 : 6
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany Alagoano 7 7 0 0 16:2 21
2 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 5 1 1 11:4 16
3 Dimensao Capela 7 4 0 3 12:7 12
4 Agrimaq 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
5 Zumbi 7 3 1 3 10:6 10
6 Alianca 7 2 0 5 10:12 6
7 Miguelense 7 2 0 5 8:13 6
8 Jacioba 7 0 0 7 3:28 0
Promotion - Alagoano 2 2025 (Play Offs)