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Zumbi vs Miguelense

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
73' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 2025 game between Zumbi and Miguelense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zumbi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zumbi
20%
Draws
34%
Miguelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Zumbi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Zumbi taking it.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Zumbi have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Zumbi Clean Sheet 68%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zumbi Miguelense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.39 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Zumbi
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Miguelense vs Zumbi
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Miguelense
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Zumbi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zumbi 77 / 100
Miguelense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zumbi Miguelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zumbi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zumbi scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Miguelense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Zumbi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zumbi VS Miguelense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zumbi

(Home)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
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Miguelense

(Away)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany Alagoano 7 7 0 0 16:2 21
2 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 5 1 1 11:4 16
3 Dimensao Capela 7 4 0 3 12:7 12
4 Agrimaq 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
5 Zumbi 7 3 1 3 10:6 10
6 Alianca 7 2 0 5 10:12 6
7 Miguelense 7 2 0 5 8:13 6
8 Jacioba 7 0 0 7 3:28 0
Promotion - Alagoano 2 2025 (Play Offs)