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Zurich II vs Chiasso

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2022/2023
Sat, Apr 29, 2023
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zurich II host Chiasso in the Promotion League 2022/2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Zurich II at 1.53 goals for, 1.83 against; Chiasso at 1.46 for, 0.92 against. Past meetings favor Chiasso slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 1.31) back Chiasso to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Zurich II
20%
Draws
33%
Chiasso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zurich II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zurich II come out ahead of Chiasso on wins alone.
  • Zurich II are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zurich II Clean Sheet 18%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zurich II Chiasso
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 1
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.53 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Promotion League
Zurich II vs Chiasso
0:0
Oct 22, 2022 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Zurich II
2:0
May 14, 2022 Promotion League
Zurich II vs Chiasso
1:2
Mar 26, 2022 Promotion League
Zurich II vs Chiasso
1:1
Oct 3, 2021 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Zurich II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zurich II 41 / 100
Chiasso 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zurich II Chiasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zurich II scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Zurich II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chiasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 13 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zurich II VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zurich II

(Home)
05 Sept
Cham
4 : 0
Zurich II
30 Aug
Zurich II
3 : 1
Schaffhausen
22 Aug
Basel II
2 : 3
Zurich II
19 Aug
Zurich II
2 : 1
Amical Saint-Prex
08 Aug
Bavois
2 : 2
Zurich II
Page 1 of 6

Chiasso

(Away)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzern II 34 24 4 6 95:53 74
2 Stade Nyonnais 34 21 5 8 83:45 66
3 Baden 34 18 6 10 61:48 58
4 Cham 34 17 5 12 60:47 54
5 Rapperswil-Jona 34 17 5 12 59:54 54
6 Etoile-Carouge 34 15 9 10 63:38 52
7 Bruhl SG 34 14 12 8 59:45 52
8 Breitenrain 34 15 8 11 57:57 51
9 Basel II 34 12 10 12 53:57 44
10 Kriens 34 13 6 15 53:58 43
11 Young Boys II 34 11 8 15 64:67 39
12 Zurich II 34 11 7 16 53:56 38
13 Bulle 34 11 6 17 49:57 37
14 Bavois 34 10 9 15 45:65 37
15 St. Gallen II 34 9 7 18 57:86 32
16 Biel 34 6 10 18 32:60 26
17 Young Fellows Juventus 34 4 5 25 27:77 15
18 Chiasso 34 0 34 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation)