Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zurich vs Thun

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Letzigrund Stadion, Zürich
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zurich host Thun in the Super League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Thun have shipped 2.21 goals a game lately, while Zurich have conceded 2.17 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Thun slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 2.25, favoring Thun. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Zurich
30%
Draws
29%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zurich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zurich come out ahead of Thun on wins alone.
  • Zurich are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Zurich Clean Sheet 10%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zurich Thun
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 2 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Super League
Zurich vs Thun
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Super League
Thun vs Zurich
4:2
Aug 23, 2025 Super League
Zurich vs Thun
0:4
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Thun vs Zurich
0:0
Aug 3, 2020 Super League
Zurich vs Thun
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zurich 40 / 100
Thun 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zurich Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Zurich scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Zurich remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zurich VS Thun
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Zurich

(Home)
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1
Vaduz
05 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 2
Zurich
01 Sept
Zurich
2 : 4
Young Boys
29 Aug
Lausanne
2 : 3
Zurich
22 Aug
Zurich
1 : 2
Basel
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Thun

(Away)
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
30 Aug
St. Gallen
3 : 4
Thun
27 Aug
Thun
2 : 2
Lech Poznan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 7 6 1 0 19:6 19
2 Young Boys 8 4 4 0 28:16 16
3 Sion 7 5 0 2 17:11 15
4 Basel 8 4 1 3 16:14 13
5 St. Gallen 7 3 1 3 12:14 10
6 Zurich 8 3 1 4 13:19 10
7 Luzern 8 2 3 3 12:17 9
8 Grasshoppers 7 2 2 3 10:14 8
9 Servette 7 2 1 4 5:8 7
10 Thun 7 2 1 4 11:18 7
11 Vaduz 8 2 0 6 17:19 6
12 Lausanne 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)