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Zvezdara vs BASK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zvezdara host BASK in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. BASK have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Zvezdara have conceded 1.86 and scored 1.29. Past meetings favor Zvezdara slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.38 - 1.69) back BASK to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zvezdara
15%
Draws
57%
BASK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BASK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • BASK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans BASK's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Zvezdara Clean Sheet 13%
BASK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zvezdara BASK
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
BASK vs Zvezdara
0:3
Oct 18, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs BASK
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs BASK
2:0
Sep 13, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
BASK vs Zvezdara
2:3
May 17, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
BASK vs Zvezdara
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zvezdara 22 / 100
BASK 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zvezdara BASK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BASK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: BASK conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: BASK has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Zvezdara's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Zvezdara VS BASK
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zvezdara

(Home)
03 Oct
Zvezdara
0 : 2
Radnicki Obrenovac
27 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 0
Zvezdara
19 Sept
Zvezdara
3 : 2
Polet Dorcol
12 Sept
Torlak
5 : 1
Zvezdara
05 Sept
Zvezdara
0 : 1
Bezanija
Page 1 of 6

BASK

(Away)
09 Oct
BASK
2 : 3
Bezanija
02 Oct
Usce
2 : 0
BASK
25 Sept
BASK
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
20 Sept
Padinska Skela
3 : 1
BASK
11 Sept
BASK
3 : 1
Brodarac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Radnicki Obrenovac 8 5 2 1 16:6 17
2 Usce 8 5 1 2 14:9 16
3 Buducnost Dobanovci 8 4 3 1 13:5 15
4 Bezanija 8 5 0 3 13:9 15
5 Nika Lepusnica 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
6 Torlak 8 4 2 2 13:10 14
7 Polet Dorcol 8 2 4 2 8:8 10
8 BASK 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
9 Zvezdara 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
10 Brodarac 8 3 0 5 9:12 9
11 Bacevac 8 2 1 5 11:18 7
12 Padinska Skela 7 1 3 3 3:7 6
13 Prva Iskra 8 2 0 6 4:13 6
14 Jedinstvo Surcin 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)