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Zvezdara vs Radnicki Beograd Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026
Sat, Oct 4, 2025
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zvezdara host Radnicki Beograd in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Zvezdara have averaged 1.37 scored and 1.8 conceded recently, against Radnicki Beograd's 1.17 scored and 1.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Zvezdara have won 3 to Radnicki Beograd's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.13 - 1.33) back Zvezdara to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Zvezdara
15%
Draws
0%
Radnicki Beograd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zvezdara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Zvezdara have won more games recently than Radnicki Beograd.
  • Model gives Zvezdara a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Zvezdara Clean Sheet 18%
Radnicki Beograd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zvezdara Radnicki Beograd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Radnicki Beograd vs Zvezdara
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Radnicki Beograd
3:0
May 24, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs Radnicki Beograd
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Radnicki Beograd vs Zvezdara
0:1
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Zvezdara vs Radnicki Beograd
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zvezdara 85 / 100
Radnicki Beograd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zvezdara Radnicki Beograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zvezdara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Radnicki Beograd registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Zvezdara's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Radnicki Beograd has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Zvezdara VS Radnicki Beograd
1.25 Goals Scored 1.29
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Zvezdara

(Home)
27 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 0
Zvezdara
19 Sept
Zvezdara
3 : 2
Polet Dorcol
12 Sept
Torlak
5 : 1
Zvezdara
05 Sept
Zvezdara
0 : 1
Bezanija
29 Aug
Prva Iskra
0 : 2
Zvezdara
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Radnicki Beograd

(Away)
30 May
Radnicki Beograd
1 : 3
Jedinstvo Surcin
23 May
Torlak
6 : 1
Radnicki Beograd
16 May
Radnicki Beograd
1 : 2
Nika Lepusnica
09 May
Teleoptik
3 : 2
Radnicki Beograd
02 May
Radnicki Beograd
0 : 4
Prva Iskra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teleoptik 26 21 5 0 77:23 68
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 26 17 4 5 70:40 55
3 Torlak 26 14 5 7 59:30 47
4 Brodarac 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
5 Padinska Skela 26 10 7 9 31:32 37
6 Jedinstvo Surcin 26 10 6 10 25:30 36
7 Buducnost Dobanovci 26 9 9 8 35:32 36
8 Nika Lepusnica 26 9 9 8 43:24 36
9 Prva Iskra 26 9 6 11 38:39 33
10 Polet Dorcol 26 9 5 12 36:40 32
11 Zvezdara 26 9 5 12 33:45 32
12 BASK 26 8 6 12 27:31 29
13 Radnicki Beograd 26 4 7 15 25:53 18
14 Kolubara 26 1 0 25 9:103 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 (Relegation)