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Zwickau vs Babelsberg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost GGZ-Arena Zwickau, Zwickau
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Harant P.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Zwickau and Babelsberg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zwickau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Zwickau
20%
Draws
29%
Babelsberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zwickau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Zwickau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Zwickau taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zwickau here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Zwickau Clean Sheet 17%
Babelsberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zwickau Babelsberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.41 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Babelsberg
1:0
Mar 3, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Babelsberg
3:2
Aug 9, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Zwickau
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Babelsberg
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Zwickau
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zwickau Compare

Top Goalscorer Harant P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Babelsberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zwickau 39 / 100
Babelsberg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zwickau Babelsberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zwickau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zwickau's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Babelsberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zwickau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zwickau VS Babelsberg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zwickau

(Home)
18 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 3
Hallescher
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2
Altglienicke
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2
Zwickau
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0
Babelsberg
26 Aug
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2
Zwickau
Page 1 of 6

Babelsberg

(Away)
19 Sept
Babelsberg
0 : 2
Hertha Berlin II
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
12 Sept
Babelsberg
1 : 1
Hallescher
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0
Babelsberg
26 Aug
Greifswalder FC
2 : 1
Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 10 7 3 0 32:8 24
2 Chemnitzer 10 7 2 1 21:5 23
3 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
4 Greifswalder FC 10 5 4 1 23:15 19
5 Hallescher 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
6 BFC Dynamo 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
7 Altglienicke 10 5 3 2 19:14 18
8 Jena 10 5 1 4 14:9 16
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 10 4 3 3 20:19 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 10 4 1 5 20:22 13
12 BFC Preussen 10 2 4 4 12:14 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 10 1 3 6 13:25 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 10 1 2 7 12:31 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)