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Zwickau vs Greifswalder FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost GGZ-Arena Zwickau, Zwickau
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Match Events

26' Event
Bokake G.
45' Event
Kroll-Thiel C.
83' Event
Heim F.

AI Match Summary

Greifswalder FC in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greifswalder FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Zwickau
35%
Draws
40%
Greifswalder FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Greifswalder FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Zwickau have won more games recently than Greifswalder FC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Zwickau Clean Sheet 16%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zwickau Greifswalder FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.34 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Greifswalder FC
0:3
Apr 12, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Zwickau
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Greifswalder FC
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Zwickau
2:1
Aug 2, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Greifswalder FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zwickau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Greifswalder FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bokake G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kroll-Thiel C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zwickau 36 / 100
Greifswalder FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zwickau Greifswalder FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greifswalder FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zwickau scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Greifswalder FC conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Zwickau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zwickau VS Greifswalder FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zwickau

(Home)
09 Oct
Zwickau
2 : 0
SV Tasmania Berlin
27 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 1
Zwickau
18 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 3
Hallescher
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2
Altglienicke
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2
Zwickau
Page 1 of 6

Greifswalder FC

(Away)
25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0
Greifswalder FC
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
16 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2
Greifswalder FC
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 2
Greifswalder FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 BFC Dynamo 12 7 3 2 21:12 24
4 Jena 12 7 1 4 21:11 22
5 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
6 Altglienicke 12 6 3 3 20:15 21
7 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Zwickau 12 5 3 4 15:17 18
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
11 Magdeburg II 12 4 1 7 21:25 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 12 2 5 5 15:18 11
14 Hertha Berlin II 12 2 4 6 10:22 10
15 Chemie Leipzig 12 2 3 7 13:20 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 Luckenwalde 12 2 0 10 12:29 6
18 SV Tasmania Berlin 12 1 2 9 13:38 5
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