Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zwickau vs Luckenwalde

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost GGZ-Arena Zwickau, Zwickau
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Zamzow C.
24' Event
Hannemann T.
45' Event
Haubner D.

AI Match Summary

Zwickau in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zwickau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Zwickau
15%
Draws
0%
Luckenwalde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zwickau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Zwickau have won more games recently than Luckenwalde.
  • Zwickau are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zwickau have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Zwickau Clean Sheet 20%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zwickau Luckenwalde
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.41 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Luckenwalde
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Zwickau
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Luckenwalde
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Zwickau
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Luckenwalde
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zwickau Compare

Top Goalscorer Hannemann T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haubner D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Luckenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamzow C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zwickau 76 / 100
Luckenwalde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zwickau Luckenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zwickau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zwickau found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Luckenwalde conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Difficult form: Luckenwalde registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Zwickau VS Luckenwalde
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zwickau

(Home)
18 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 3
Hallescher
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2
Altglienicke
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2
Zwickau
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0
Babelsberg
26 Aug
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2
Zwickau
Page 1 of 6

Luckenwalde

(Away)
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5
Erfurt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)