Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zwolle U21 vs De Graafschap U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

De Graafschap U21 in this Divisie 1 U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored De Graafschap U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Zwolle U21
15%
Draws
42%
De Graafschap U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zwolle U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • De Graafschap U21 have won more games recently than Zwolle U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors De Graafschap U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Zwolle U21 Clean Sheet 13%
De Graafschap U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zwolle U21 De Graafschap U21
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.8 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.45 1.70
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Zwolle U21 vs De Graafschap U21
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Zwolle U21
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
Zwolle U21 vs De Graafschap U21
0:1
Apr 6, 2024 Divisie 1 U21
Zwolle U21 vs De Graafschap U21
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Zwolle U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zwolle U21 30 / 100
De Graafschap U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zwolle U21 De Graafschap U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zwolle U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zwolle U21's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

De Graafschap U21 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zwolle U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zwolle U21 VS De Graafschap U21
1.4 Goals Scored 2
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 88%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zwolle U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Zwolle U21
2 : 0
G.A. Eagles U21
19 Sept
Feyenoord U21
4 : 0
Zwolle U21
12 Sept
Groningen U21
0 : 3
Zwolle U21
05 Sept
Zwolle U21
1 : 3
De Graafschap U21
29 Aug
Willem II U21
0 : 1
Zwolle U21
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De Graafschap U21

(Away)
26 Sept
De Graafschap U21
0 : 2
FC Twente/Heracles U21
19 Sept
Willem II U21
0 : 2
De Graafschap U21
12 Sept
De Graafschap U21
1 : 0
Cambuur U21
05 Sept
Zwolle U21
1 : 3
De Graafschap U21
29 Aug
De Graafschap U21
1 : 2
Groningen U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord U21 4 4 0 0 14:3 12
2 De Graafschap U21 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
3 Zwolle U21 5 3 0 2 7:7 9
4 Cambuur U21 4 2 1 1 12:5 7
5 Groningen U21 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 FC Twente/Heracles U21 5 1 1 3 4:12 4
7 G.A. Eagles U21 5 0 2 3 4:14 2
8 Willem II U21 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
Promotion - Divisie 1 U21 (Play Offs)