Sport Picks

Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2025/2026 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle

Zwolle

1 - 3

AZ Alkmaar

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Kostons K.

Assist: Floranus S.

53'

Mijnans S.

Assist: Parrott T.

63'

Sub

Mbayo D. In: Shoretire S.

Out: Mbayo D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with AZ Alkmaar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Zwolle

20%

Draws

57%

AZ Alkmaar

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

AZ Alkmaar carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans AZ Alkmaar's way, sitting at 90%.
AZ Alkmaar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor AZ Alkmaar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%

AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zwolle	AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	6	16
Draws	7	8
Losses	16	5
Goals Scored	1.21	2.21
Goals Conceded	2.21	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Eredivisie

Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar

3:1

Dec 3, 2025 KNVB Beker

Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar

1:3

Sep 24, 2025 Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs Zwolle

2:2

Feb 9, 2025 Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs Zwolle

2:0

Sep 20, 2024 Eredivisie

Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zwolle Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostons K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mijnans S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Sadiq I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.5

Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zwolle 10 / 100

AZ Alkmaar 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zwolle AZ Alkmaar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Zwolle's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AZ Alkmaar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Zwolle remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zwolle VS AZ Alkmaar

1 Goals Scored 2.63

2.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zwolle

(Home)

18 Sept

Groningen

3 : 0

Zwolle

13 Sept

Zwolle

0 : 7

Feyenoord

04 Sept

Sparta Rotterdam

2 : 2

Zwolle

29 Aug

Zwolle

1 : 3

Nijmegen

22 Aug

Heerenveen

0 : 2

Zwolle

Page 1 of 6

AZ Alkmaar

(Away)

20 Sept

AZ Alkmaar

1 : 0

Telstar

16 Sept

Sunderland

1 : 0

AZ Alkmaar

11 Sept

AZ Alkmaar

1 : 1

Willem II

06 Sept

Heerenveen

2 : 3

AZ Alkmaar

29 Aug

AZ Alkmaar

5 : 2

G.A. Eagles

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Helmond Sport -

TBD -

Zwolle -

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

Aalsmeer 2

HZVV Hoogeveen 4

TBD -

Excelsior Maassluis -

TBD -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Ajax -

Walcheren 1

VV Noordwijk 3

TBD -

Hardenberg -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

TBD -

Utrecht -

USV Hercules 4

GOES 0

TBD -

Spakenburg -

RKVV Erp 0

VV DOVO 4

TEC 3

SV Poortugaal 2

Rohda Raalte 4

HVV Hollandia 1

SteDoCo 0

DVS '33 Ermelo 2

TBD -

Twente -

SV Juliana 31 0

Meerssen 2

Gemert 2

Huizen 1

TBD -

Sittard -

Harkemase Boys 0

Sparta Nijkerk 1

VV Kloetinge 3

DVO 0

TBD -

Almere City -

HSV Hoek 6

Rijnvogels 4

Blauw Geel 2

VVOG 1

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Lisse 1

Westlandia 0

VV Zwaluwen 1

Urk 2

TBD -

Telstar -

VVSB 1

Capelle 2

SVV Scheveningen 2

Staphorst 0

TBD -

Roda -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda -

TBD -

Heracles -

De Foresters 2

VV Scherpenzeel 3

VV Hoogeveen 6

Velocitas 1

TBD -

FC Emmen -

TOGB 1

RKSV UDI 19 3

Sportlust 4

Sportclub 25 1

Kozakken Boys 4

Kampong 0

TBD -

Barendrecht -

De Treffers -

TBD -

RKAV Volendam -

TBD -

Maastricht -

Eemdijk 4

Dongen 0

DZOH Emmen 2

Excelsior 31 5

TBD -

AFC -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Willem II -

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Groningen -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Heino 3

Groene Ster 4

IJsselmeervogels 0

Genemuiden 1

RKSV Halsteren 3

ACV Assen 1

AWC 0

ASWH 2

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Den Haag -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

PSV -

TBD -

ADO 20 Heemskerk 0

Roosendaal 2

TBD -

GVVV -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo -

TBD -

Heerenveen -

Olde Veste 0

HSC '21 3

't Zand 4

Mierlo-Hout 2

Koninklijke HFC -

TBD -

UNA 1

ARC 2

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Cambuur -

1/64-finals

Helmond Sport -

TBD -

Zwolle -

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

HZVV Hoogeveen 1

Excelsior Maassluis 5

TBD -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Ajax -

VV Noordwijk 0

Hardenberg 2

TBD -

TOP Oss -

TBD -

Utrecht -

USV Hercules 1

Spakenburg 3

VV DOVO 1

TEC 0

Rohda Raalte 1

DVS '33 Ermelo 0

TBD -

Twente -

Meerssen 0

Gemert 1

TBD -

Sittard -

Sparta Nijkerk 4

VV Kloetinge 3

TBD -

Almere City -

HSV Hoek 1

Blauw Geel 0

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Lisse 4

Urk 1

TBD -

Telstar -

Capelle 5

SVV Scheveningen 1

TBD -

Roda -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda -

TBD -

Heracles -

VV Scherpenzeel 3

VV Hoogeveen 4

TBD -

FC Emmen -

RKSV UDI 19 0

Sportlust 1

Kozakken Boys 2

Barendrecht 3

De Treffers 6

RKAV Volendam 3

TBD -

Maastricht -

Eemdijk 2

Excelsior 31 1

TBD -

AFC -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Willem II -

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Groningen -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Groene Ster 1

Genemuiden 2

RKSV Halsteren 3

ASWH 2

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Den Haag -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

PSV -

TBD -

Roosendaal 0

GVVV 1

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo -

TBD -

Heerenveen -

HSC '21 3

't Zand 1

Koninklijke HFC 5

ARC 0

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Cambuur -

1/32-finals

Helmond Sport 1

Zwolle 4

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

Excelsior Maassluis 1

Excelsior 0

TBD -

Ajax -

Hardenberg 0

TOP Oss 2

TBD -

Utrecht -

Spakenburg 5

VV DOVO 1

Rohda Raalte 1

Twente 4

Gemert 0

Sittard 1

Sparta Nijkerk 0

Almere City 2

HSV Hoek 3

Eindhoven FC 2

Lisse 0

Telstar 5

Capelle 1

Roda 5

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda 1

Heracles 4

VV Hoogeveen 1

FC Emmen 0

Sportlust 1

Barendrecht 0

De Treffers 3

Maastricht 1

Eemdijk 1

AFC 2

Rijnsburgse Boys 2

Nijmegen 3

Willem II 7

Dordrecht 0

Sparta Rotterdam 5

Groningen 2

Quick Boys 1

FC Volendam 2

Genemuiden 1

RKSV Halsteren 0

Den Bosch 4

Den Haag 3

Katwijk 2

Vitesse 1

PSV -

TBD -

GVVV 4

De Graafschap 2

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo 0

Heerenveen 3

HSC '21 3

Koninklijke HFC 0

Waalwijk 3

Cambuur 2

1/16-finals

Zwolle 1

AZ Alkmaar 3

Excelsior Maassluis 2

Ajax 7

TOP Oss 0

Utrecht 2

Spakenburg 3

Twente 6

Sittard 2

Almere City 3

HSV Hoek 1

Telstar 4

Roda 1

G.A. Eagles 2

Heracles 4

VV Hoogeveen 1

Sportlust 0

De Treffers 1

AFC 1

Nijmegen 3

Willem II 1

Sparta Rotterdam 5

FC Volendam 2

Genemuiden 0

Den Bosch 2

Katwijk 1

PSV 3

GVVV 0

Feyenoord 2

Heerenveen 3

HSC '21 0

Waalwijk 9

1/8-finals

AZ Alkmaar 6

Ajax 0

Utrecht 1

Twente 2

Almere City 1

Telstar 3

G.A. Eagles 3

Heracles 2

De Treffers 1

Nijmegen 2

Sparta Rotterdam 1

FC Volendam 2

Den Bosch 1

PSV 4

Heerenveen 3

Waalwijk 1

Quarter-finals

AZ Alkmaar 2

Twente 1

Telstar 2

G.A. Eagles 1

Nijmegen 1

FC Volendam 0

PSV 4

Heerenveen 1

Semi-finals

AZ Alkmaar 2

Telstar 1

Nijmegen 3

PSV 2

Final

AZ Alkmaar 5

Nijmegen 1

Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands

Zwolle

AZ Alkmaar

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Zwolle Compare

AZ Alkmaar Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Zwolle

AZ Alkmaar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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