Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zwolle vs Cambuur

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zwolle host Cambuur in the Eredivisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Zwolle have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Cambuur's 1.53 scored and 1.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Zwolle slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2022, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.06 - 1.88) back Cambuur to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zwolle
20%
Draws
40%
Cambuur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cambuur lately — more wins on the board than Zwolle.
  • Model gives Cambuur a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zwolle Cambuur
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2022 Club Friendly
Zwolle vs Cambuur
3:1
Feb 12, 2022 Eredivisie
Cambuur vs Zwolle
3:4
Nov 6, 2021 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Cambuur
1:2
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Zwolle vs Cambuur
2:1
Aug 1, 2020 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Zwolle
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zwolle 18 / 100
Cambuur 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zwolle Cambuur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambuur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cambuur conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Zwolle scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Cambuur registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zwolle VS Cambuur
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Zwolle

(Home)
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3
Nijmegen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2
Zwolle
Page 1 of 6

Cambuur

(Away)
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4
Twente
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5
Feyenoord
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1
Cambuur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 6 5 1 0 22:7 16
2 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 17:6 16
3 Feyenoord 6 4 2 0 20:7 14
4 Ajax 6 4 1 1 19:7 13
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
6 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
7 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
8 Sittard 6 3 1 2 12:14 10
9 G.A. Eagles 6 2 3 1 15:13 9
10 Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
11 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
13 Telstar 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
14 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 11:19 5
15 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Willem II 6 0 2 4 6:19 2
18 Den Haag 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)